Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF), D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun Nisan 2020 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “B\u00fcy\u00fck Tecrit” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,3’ten y\u00fczde eksi 3’e, 2021 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,4’ten y\u00fczde 5,8’e revize edildi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya genelinde y\u00fcksek maliyetlere neden oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda insan ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 korumak ve sa\u011fl\u0131k sistemlerinin bunun \u00fcstesinden gelebilmesini sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in izolasyon, tecrit ve geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 i\u015f yerleri kapatmalar\u0131n vir\u00fcs\u00fcn yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatmak i\u00e7in gerekli oldu\u011fu ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
“2008-2009 finansal krizinden daha k\u00f6t\u00fc”<\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda, bu sa\u011fl\u0131k krizinin ekonomik faaliyet \u00fczerinden ciddi bir etkisi oldu\u011fu vurgulanarak, “Salg\u0131n\u0131n bir sonucu olarak k\u00fcresel ekonominin 2020’de y\u00fczde 3 oran\u0131nda sert bir \u015fekilde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor, bu 2008-2009 finansal krizinden \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fc.” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulunuldu.<\/p>\n
Salg\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n 2’nci yar\u0131s\u0131nda azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve salg\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemlerin kademeli olarak kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin senaryo dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonominin toparlanaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekilerek, politika desteklerinin yard\u0131m\u0131yla ekonomik faaliyetin normalle\u015fmesi halinde 2021’de y\u00fczde 5,8’lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerine y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fck bir belirsizlik oldu\u011fu belirtilerek, “Bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke, sa\u011fl\u0131k \u015foku, i\u00e7 ekonomik aksamalar, d\u00fc\u015fen d\u0131\u015f talep, sermaye ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tersine d\u00f6nmesi ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden olu\u015fan \u00e7ok katmanl\u0131 bir krizle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir sonuca dair riskler de bask\u0131n bulunuyor.” ifadesi kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
“\u00d6nlemler ekonominin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir yat\u0131r\u0131m”<\/b><\/p>\n
Etkili politikalar\u0131n \u00f6neminin vurguland\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, “Salg\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak ve ya\u015famlar\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in gerekli \u00f6nlemler ekonomik faaliyeti k\u0131sa vadede zorlayacakt\u0131r ancak uzun vadede insana ve ekonominin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u00f6nemli bir yat\u0131r\u0131m olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmelidir.” de\u011ferlendirmesi yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, acil \u00f6nceli\u011fin Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n etkilerinin kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131 oldu\u011funun alt\u0131 \u00e7izilerek, ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n da faaliyetlerdeki azalma ile ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz ciddi yava\u015flaman\u0131n etkilerini hafifletmesi ve salg\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011finde ekonomik toparlanman\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ekonomik faaliyetteki aksamalar\u0131n devam etmesi halinde mali \u00f6nlemlerin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekece\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, salg\u0131n ve etkileriyle m\u00fccadelede finansman yetersizli\u011fiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fan ekonomiler i\u00e7in d\u0131\u015f deste\u011fin gerekebilece\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
B\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri <\/b><\/p>\n
IMF’nin raporuna g\u00f6re, ABD i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini 2020’de y\u00fczde 2’den y\u00fczde eksi 5,9’a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,7\u2019den y\u00fczde 4,7’ye y\u00fckseltildi.<\/p>\n
Avro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi de 2020’de y\u00fczde 1,3’ten y\u00fczde eksi 7,5’e \u00e7ekilirken, 2021’de y\u00fczde 1,4’ten y\u00fczde 4,7’ye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Avrupa’n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen ekonomilerinden Almanya’n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,1’den y\u00fczde eksi 7’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 2021’de y\u00fczde 1,4’ten y\u00fczde 5,2’ye y\u00fckseltildi. Avrupa’da Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131ndan en \u00e7ok etkilenen \u0130talya’n\u0131n ise bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 0,5’ten y\u00fczde eksi 9,1’e \u00e7ekilirken, 2021’de y\u00fczde 0,7’den y\u00fczde 4,8’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere i\u00e7in 2020 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 1,4’ten y\u00fczde eksi 6,5’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 2021 beklentisi y\u00fczde 1,5’ten y\u00fczde 4’e y\u00fckseltildi.<\/p>\n
Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler <\/b><\/p>\n
Geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke ekonomilerinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise 2020’de y\u00fczde 4,4’ten y\u00fczde eksi 1’e \u00e7ekilirken, 2021’de y\u00fczde 4,6’dan y\u00fczde 6,6’ya \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00c7in’de de bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 6’dan y\u00fczde 1,2’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 2021’de y\u00fczde 5,8’den 9,2’ye y\u00fckseltildi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin ise bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5 daralaca\u011f\u0131, 2021’de y\u00fczde 5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in enflasyon tahmini de bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 12 olarak belirlendi.\u00dclkedeki i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n ise bu y\u0131l 17,2, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 15,6 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu, yeni tip koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 ekonomik durgunlu\u011fun etkisiyle bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na dair beklentisini y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5890,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,12],"tags":[],"manset":[],"bilesen":[],"class_list":["post-5889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5889","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5889"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5889\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5890"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5889"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5889"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5889"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=5889"},{"taxonomy":"bilesen","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.yenisehirgundem.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bilesen?post=5889"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}